Thursday, October 21, 2010

TPM: So who are you going to believe, the Mainstream Media asks, us or your lying eyes?

I'm flashing back to 2008, where every single news outlet was telling me that Hillary was winning the election, and my eyes were telling me that Barack Obama was winning.

Nowadays, the same Media is telling us how much the Corporate Money scandal doesn't matter to voters when the polling shows it obviously does.

Josh Marshall over at TPM posts this question from Alan Abramowitz about the modeling for the Gallup Generic ballot:

But that's not the most implausible result in the latest Gallup likely voter survey. Among nonwhites other than blacks, a group that comprises about 13% of likely voters, a generic Republican is leading a generic Democrat by 10 points, 52% to 42%. That's a group that voted Democratic by a 2-1 margin in the 2006 midterm election. Moreover, it's a group that has never given a majority of its vote to Republican candidates for Congress in any election since the advent of exit polling. According to the 2006 exit poll results, about two-thirds of these "other nonwhite" voters are Latinos. How plausible is it that at a time when the Republican Party is closely associated with stridently anti-immigrant policies that Latino voters are moving in droves toward Republican candidates? Not plausible at all, especially when Gallup's results are directly contradicted by other recent polls of Latino voters.

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