Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Just because I’m a Liberal, doesn’t mean @KeithOlbermann gets to insult my intelligence. (VIDEO)

I could be wrong about this, but I actually read the Peter Baker piece I think he was referring to, and...I’m having the darnedest time finding some of the quotes Keith mentioned in it.



Now, Keith called the piece “an interview”, and later referred to the same piece in another segment. This is where I could be wrong. “The Education of President Obama” is not a straight up interview. It’s kind of a profile piece, containing segments of interviews from a lot of people. If there is another piece Keith is referring to, I’d love to see it, because what I read ain’t it.

Still, there’s something about reading something before you hear from the pundits, and watching their analysis go off like a runaway rocket.

Yes, I'm saying I think Keith screwed this one up. The job he did on this seems as bad as any Fox News piece. If I wanted his level of half-ass analysis, I'd read Huffington Post.

Now, the money quote Keith mentioned about Obama being seen as a Tax and Spend Liberal was far more nuanced in the piece I read.

Well, why don't you read it for yourself:

While proud of his record, Obama has already begun thinking about what went wrong — and what he needs to do to change course for the next two years. He has spent what one aide called “a lot of time talking about Obama 2.0” with his new interim chief of staff, Pete Rouse, and his deputy chief of staff, Jim Messina. During our hour together, Obama told me he had no regrets about the broad direction of his presidency. But he did identify what he called “tactical lessons.” He let himself look too much like “the same old tax-and-spend liberal Democrat.” He realized too late that “there’s no such thing as shovel-ready projects” when it comes to public works. Perhaps he should not have proposed tax breaks as part of his stimulus and instead “let the Republicans insist on the tax cuts” so it could be seen as a bipartisan compromise.

I’m trying to figure out why exactly Bill Burton needed to clarify any of that with Keith. Seems pretty damn clear to me. How exactly does this depress my fellow Liberals?

So for months, Keith and the Huffington Post set scream and holler that the President wasn't doing "it" right. The President in a moment of self reflection admits it, and...the same set pummels him for admitting it???

Also, Keith didn’t mention the very next paragraph:

Most of all, he has learned that, for all his anti-Washington rhetoric, he has to play by Washington rules if he wants to win in Washington. It is not enough to be supremely sure that he is right if no one else agrees with him. “Given how much stuff was coming at us,” Obama told me, “we probably spent much more time trying to get the policy right than trying to get the politics right. There is probably a perverse pride in my administration — and I take responsibility for this; this was blowing from the top — that we were going to do the right thing, even if short-term it was unpopular. And I think anybody who’s occupied this office has to remember that success is determined by an intersection in policy and politics and that you can’t be neglecting of marketing and P.R. and public opinion.”

Strikes me that the President kinda gets the idea that there is no profit in the notion of “taking care of the policies and the politics will take care of itself.”



Then, what really got on my nerves is Keith dug in with a second reflection on the same article (again, could be wrong). This time I saw the quotes he was talking about, and he still selectively edited the damn thing.

Keith made it sound like the President was ready to give up the whole store to the Republicans.

Wanna read what was actually in the article?:

“There are a lot of lessons learned in the last two years in terms of how we might improve internal communication, encourage greater accountability without discouraging individual initiative,” said one aide familiar with the discussions led by Rouse and Messina. Obama has been aggravated by friction among his advisers. “He’s a little frustrated with the internal dysfunction,” the aide said. “He doesn’t like confrontation.” But his initial choices to fill open slots have been drawn largely from his administration, suggesting more continuity than change.

Rouse and Messina see areas for possible bipartisan agreement, like reauthorizing the nation’s education laws to include reform measures favored by centrists and conservatives, passing long-pending trade pacts and possibly even producing scaled-back energy legislation. “You’ll hear more about exports and less about public spending,” a senior White House official said. “You’ll hear more about initiative and private sector and less about the Department of Energy. You’ll hear more about government as a financier and less about government as a hirer.”

Obama expressed optimism to me that he could make common cause with Republicans after the midterm elections. “It may be that regardless of what happens after this election, they feel more responsible,” he said, “either because they didn’t do as well as they anticipated, and so the strategy of just saying no to everything and sitting on the sidelines and throwing bombs didn’t work for them, or they did reasonably well, in which case the American people are going to be looking to them to offer serious proposals and work with me in a serious way.”

I asked if there were any Republicans he trusted enough to work with on economic issues. The first name he came up with was Senator Judd Gregg of New Hampshire, who initially agreed to serve as Obama’s commerce secretary before changing his mind. But Gregg is retiring. The only other Republican named by Obama was Paul Ryan, the Wisconsin congressman who has put together a detailed if politically problematic blueprint for reducing federal spending. The two men are ideologically poles apart, but perhaps Obama sees a bit of himself in a young, substantive policy thinker.

Even if such an alliance emerges, though, the next two years will be mostly about cementing what Obama did in his first two years — and defending it against challenges in Congress and the courts. “Even if I had the exact same Congress, even if we don’t lose a seat in the Senate and we don’t lose a seat in the House, I think the rhythms of the next two years would inevitably be different from the rhythms of the first two years,” Obama told me. “There’s going to be a lot of work in this administration just doing things right and making sure that new laws are stood up in the ways they’re intended.”

What was I said about “taking care of the policies and the politics will take care of itself?”

And "perhaps Obama sees a bit of himself in a young, substantive policy thinker??" That's the writer going off on a tangent, not the President.

I know. The "he doesn't like confrontation" quote didn't do anything for me either. Still, he doesn't have to like it. He just has to do it.

Also, this isn't exactly a new idea. Should have been Keith's outraged when Obama supporter, and Tea-Party hater Colin Powell said pretty much the same thing about a month ago on his very network?

MR. GREGORY: Do you think that Republicans are poised to retake at least the House? And would you like to see them do that with this--the current slate of candidates and some of the ideas?

GEN. POWELL: I, I don't know. The, the pollsters would tell us that the Republicans are poised to take over the House. That wouldn't break my heart, I wouldn't go into a funk. Frankly, it might be good for the president to have the Republicans owning one of the two bodies of our Congress.

MR. GREGORY: How so?

GEN. POWELL: Because then they have responsibility. You can't just say no to everything. You can't just sit around beating up the president. But the president also has to, I think, shift the way in which he has been doing things. I think the American people feel that too many programs have come down. There are so many rocks in our knapsack now that we're having trouble carrying it. I think the president has to, like a, like a, like a razor blade, just go right after the single issue that is uppermost in the minds of the American people and that's employment. And he's done a lot with health care, with cap and trade, with education, and I understand the importance of all of that; but as far as the American people are concerned, the main attack is employment, and he's got to fix that.

I disagree with General Powell's idea that too much was done. Folks need to get over that.

Look, you be the judge. From where I stand, this is the same pragmatist that we voted into office. I think the President needs to take more political advantage of the Republicans if they do take the House. He needs to make a punching bag out of them sometimes, especially if they launch as many investigations as they're threatening.

At the same time, I will make this warning to the President. Right now, for Liberals, the choice between him and the Republicans is clear. If he caves too much to the Republican agenda, especially after watching them do nothing but thwart his for two years, then a lot of Liberals aren’t going to be disappointed in him, they’re going to be pissed off, and then they will stay home in 2012. We didn’t vote him in to sign in a Republican Agenda. If the GOP tries a Government Shutdown, his reaction cannot be "you know they're got a point".

When dealing with these scumbags, he needs to make sure he’s getting the maximum out of the GOP that he can.

Wouldn’t it be ironic, if it was a Republican Congress that passed a Public Option?

The whole article was a worthwhile read, but it is very long. Still, do yourself a favor, hit the link, print it out...and don’t rely on someone else to do your reading for you.

Not even Keith.

The reviews are in! Rove's lying, and not just about where the money comes from.

And really, are we that surprised??

Greg Sargent has put up a nice little list of the media and press reaction to most Karl Rove's and the Chamber of Commerce's anti-Democrat, Foreign Funded attack bull@#$%:

  • A Chamber ad was yanked from two Pennsylvania TV stations after they determined its claim about Pennsylvania Senate Dem candidate Joe Sestak and Nancy Pelosi was false.
  • A Crossroads GPS ad slamming Sestak over health care reform and Medicare was skewered by FactCheck.org for its "wild exaggeration" and dismissed as "badly misleading."
  • A Crossroads GPS ad attacking California Senator Barbara Boxer for voting to cut Medicare spending by $500 billion was rated by Politifact as "barely true" and "seriously misleading."
  • Two Chamber ads attacking Boxer for favoring freshwater fish over jobs were dismissed by Factcheck.org, though with some caveats, as follows: "Strictly speaking, both ads are untrue."
  • Also in the above link, FactCheck.org slammed Crossroads GPS for making similiarly misleading claims about health reform in an ad targeting Kentucky Dem Senate candidate Jack Conway. FactCheck.org's conclusion: "Don't let Crossroads GPS steer you down the wrong road."
  • An American Crossroads ad blasting Harry Reid with various claims about unemployment and the stimulus was dismissed by the Las Vegas Sun for "egregious" stretching of the facts and "gross distortions."
  • That same ad was also ripped by FactCheck.org for distorting the truth and by Politifact as "false."
  • An American Crossroads ad hammering Ohio Dem Senate candidate Lee Fisher over job creation and tax hikes was skewered by the Cleveland Plain Dealer as "incomplete" and "mucked up with distortions."
  • An ABC affiliate in Colorado found that a Crossroads GPS ad attacking Senator Michael Bennet made a misleading claim about Bennet on government spending and conflated opinion for fact on the stimulus.

Apparently, those were just the Greg races. Greg is talking like he may put up a seperate list of the House ads that have been yanked.

Goolsbee vs. Colbert tonight on Comedy Central!

Yeah, that's right Fort McHenry's favorite Economist (and really, should anyone have a favorite economist?) is going to be on The Colbert Report, tonight.

The video will be here tomorrow.

Think Progress: You want proof of Foreign Money in this election cycle...here's a list! (VIDEO)

The Daily Show (again caught in the act of committing journalism):

The Daily Show With Jon StewartMon - Thurs 11p / 10c
(C) Spot Run!
www.thedailyshow.com
Daily Show Full EpisodesPolitical HumorRally to Restore Sanity

Steve?  Here's your proof:

Yesterday, the Chamber’s chief lobbyist Bruce Josten, who has been spoon-feeding much of the media distortions about our report, went on Fox News (whose parent company donated $1 million to the Chamber recently for its ad campaign) to again try to dilute the issue by dissembling about the Chamber’s fundraising and membership. “We have probably 60 or so foreign multi-national companies in our membership that we have had for decades, many of which have been in the United States for half a century or a century,” said Josten.

The Chamber is being deceptive. In addition to multinational members of the Chamber headquartered abroad (like BP, Shell Oil, and Siemens), a new ThinkProgress investigation has identified at least 83 other foreign companies that actively donate to the Chamber’s 501(c)(6). Below is a chart detailing the annual dues foreign corporations have indicated that they give directly to the Chamber (using information that is publicly available from the Business Council applications and the Chamber’s own websites):

Think Progress has the complete list here:

Ezra Klein on the ups and downs of a Democratic Brand

Of course, Ezra says "Joe Manchin is gonna be Ben Nelson" far nicer than I have in the past.

[In] the West Virginia Senate race, where the Democratic nominee is Joe Manchin, the popular governor whose campaign ads currently feature him shooting a gun at a copy of the cap-and-trade bill. His ads, in other words, are about what a hard time he'll give the party. But those ads are, in part, why he'll likely win. And then he'll get to the Senate, vote for Harry Reid as Senate majority leader, and vote for most, but not all, Democratic initiatives. The Republican candidate in the race, by contrast, makes no similar concessions to West Virginia's populist political culture.

It's hard to have a concrete brand when a guy like Manchin is part of your party. It'd be a bit like if Coca-Cola sold not just Cokes, but a brand that spent its advertising budget convincing people that Coke was gross, and hired guys to yell at people who ordered Cokes in stores.

But though Manchin makes thematic coherence difficult, he makes it easier to have a congressional majority. The party discipline that the Republican brand requires makes it difficult to tailor candidates to individual races. So you'll see campaigns like Delaware and West Virginia, where Democrats are likely to win seats a different kind of Republican could've captured, and major policy achievements like health-care reform that only happened because Democrats decided against kicking Joe Lieberman out of the party, and senators like Arlen Specter and Jim Jeffords, who simply switched sides to get away from the GOP's party discipline.

The flip side of this, of course, is that Republicans are better at getting all of their members to vote the same way, and better at getting their candidates to move to the far right. But aside from tax cuts, I'm not really sure what that's gotten them. George W. Bush expanded the federal role in education, Medicare and campaign finance, not to mention starting both the bank and auto bailouts. Civil rights, feminism and sexual equality have all made enormous strides. Barack Obama passed a massive stimulus plan followed by a near-universal health-care bill. Conservatives might have the stronger brand, but liberals, in recent years, have had the more successful one.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Elizabeth Warren on the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (VIDEO)

And here I thought this was going to be a slow news day:

Kids, remember, don't tug on Superman's cape (VIDEO)

President Obama meets with students, their families and others that worked on the film, "Waiting For Superman". The President invited them into the Oval Office and the group then watched him depart in Marine One.



And yes, I remember being that age.  If I were those kids, I'd probably would have been more excited about watching a real live Helicopter take off than seeing the President.  Fortunately, I've grown up since then.

The worst part about Education funding?  It takes 18-20 years to see how good of a job it did.

The White House does a good job with these videos.  I have to confess, "Waiting for Superman" is a movie I'm almost afraid to see, but I'll bite the bullet and see it.

David Plouffe Campaign Update: October 12, 2010 (VIDEO)

It's gettin' better all the time...

There's something cool in this age of Hyperpunditry, where Political Consultants can be rock stars, there's a guy sitting in the back who's just looking at the nuts and bolts of the thing, and making it all work.

David Plouffe seems...well, about as up as I usually see him. He doesn't seem scared. He doesn't seem all that worried. My guess is whatever's happening is supposed to be happening, at least as far as David Plouffe is concerned.

"[Foreign Money in elections] is a serious issue and we're going to continue to raise it."

First I got this from Greg Sargent:

The full-scale assault from the White House and Dems on the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and Karl Rove's groups shows no signs of abating. But is it already a political flop?

Some commentators are rushing to proclaim this offensive a political failure. Mark Halperin, for instance, wondered allowed today: "I'm not sure how this appeals to voters." Halperin then stated this as outright fact: "It's just not relevant to voters."

Greg then stated the obvious, that water is wet, the sky is blue, and Halperin has his head up his a!@#, because :

It's not easy to gauge whether this attack is working. But polls clearly show strong public discontent with corporate influence over our elections. A recent Washington Post poll found an overwhelming majority, 80 percent, opposes the Citizens United decision allowing unfettered corporate spending in elections, including strong majorities of both parties. And 72 percent support Congressional limits on corporate (and union) spending.

What's more, the Dem firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner recently tested some Dem messages on this very topic. It found that one focused on corporate interests -- and corporate spending in elections -- was a very potent one that could close the Congressional generic matchup gap by nine points.

Then I got this from Andrew Sullivan:

Nyhan goes after the Democrats for baseless attacks against the US Chamber of Commerce. It is very depressing to see them descend to this kind of stuff. What they need are not tactics and resentment, which is what we're seeing. What we need is a narrative of recovery and reform from Obama. He has the record, and he has made a couple of great speeches. But this distracts.

My view, and I'll say it again. Campaign on ending the long-term debt. Campaign on being the man who can bring America together to solve its long-term fiscal crisis. Call the GOP out on its fiscal record and its current refusal to specify what they'll cut. Remind people of the debt commission. Remind people we need to cut spending and raise taxes. Be the adult in the room. With a megaphone.

Afterwards, I sent Mr. Sullivan an Email thanking God he wasn't a Political Adviser to the President, because some of us are actually pissed off about this.

And finally, this from the Axe:

The White House will keep up its assault on outside spending by conservative groups and will continue to press the case about the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's foreign money, despite hints of retreat on the latter issue, senior adviser David Axelrod told me in an interview this afternoon.

Axelrod also took a shot at the fact-checkers at multiple news orgs who have concluded there is no evidence for the White House's broadside at the Chamber, suggesting fact-checkers should be "directing their ire" at the Chamber, rather than "in the wrong direction."

"The fact that these front groups are spending hundreds of millions of dollars from undisclosed sources on attack ads to influence these elections is a serious issue and we're going to continue to raise it," Axelrod told me.

Just who are the Pro-Corporate Groups trying to steal the election?

If you want to meet the people who are trying to steal the election, the People for the American Way has put together a list.

Another reason I could care less about Senate Democrats, Part 939

Despite the fact, the Obama Administration has lifted the moratorium she objects to so much, Sen. Mary Landrieu still refuses to give up her hold on incoming Budget Jacob Lew.

This is why I never give one stinkin' dime to the DSCC.

What's going to happen with the DADT repeal is going to make your head hurt.

Now, we're got tremendous news this morning:

First, Steve Benen:

About a month ago, U.S. District Judge Virginia A. Phillips found that the military's "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" policy is unconstitutional, violating due process and the First Amendment. Phillips added that the policy has a "direct and deleterious effect" on the armed services, "impeding military readiness and unit cohesion."

At that point, the judge called for the plaintiffs to submit a proposed injunction limiting the law. Today, Phillips ordered the military to "immediately ... suspend and discontinue any investigation, or discharge, separation, or other proceeding, that may have been commenced under the 'Don't Ask, Don't Tell'" policy.

And...

The Justice Department will have 60 days to appeal to the left-leaning 9th Circuit, which seems likely. White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs didn't comment on the legal strategy, but reiterated that President Obama "will continue to work as hard as he can to change the law that he believes is fundamentally unfair."

Okay, it was speculated in this space not too long ago that someone stabbed the President in the back in regards to DADT repeal in connection with the Defense Authorization Bill:

I thought it was highly important that she highlighted her own interview with the Vice President, where he talked about a "deal" to keep the prosecutions going in order to get the votes.

Now, it looks like someone stabbed the Administration in the back.

That's who the Gay Community should be pissed at today.

And yeah, Rachel is right. I think the Obama Administration should go back on its word now, and end the prosecutions by Executive Order.

Now ending the prosecutions by Executive Order is moot.  Judge Phillips took care of that this afternoon.

What I'm afraid is going to happen is the Obama Administration still thinks it has a chance to pass DADT Repeal after the Midterms in the Lame Duck session, thus they will feel honor bound to fight the Court ruling in order to live up to that deal.

Are you following that?  In order to repeal DADT through Legislation, the White House needs to fight in favor of DADT in the Courts, all so they can preserve a deal to pass...DADT repeal in the Senate.

Head...hurts...ouch.

Thus, marking occasion number three where I have disagreed with the President, let me say, this is a boneheaded strategy.

This is "burn the village in order to save it" thinking.

All this is going to do is further alienate the Gay and Lesbian communities (if that's even possible), all in the name of a secret deal that they won't explain, or put the finger on somebody over.

This is the one problem with having former Senators as President and Vice-President, even ones I like in Obama and Biden.


My one major problem with the Senate...remains Senators.

Aside from the massive ego on display every day by Senators, there's the problem that they always seem more loyal to the Senate than they are to anyone else.  The geniality of the body is more important than the laws they produce.

Mr. President, whoever this person is, burn them.  Put their name out there, and let the Gay Community go to work on them.

Thomas Ricks reminds us that Bill Kristol can't meet the standards of a stopped clock

Thomas Ricks reminds us of the batting average of some of our favorite Conservative Pundits:

A nice little historical note here, revisiting a bunch of scary predictions Robert Kagan and Bill Kristol made in the year 2000:

Ten years from now, and perhaps a good deal sooner, we likely will be living a world in which Iraq, Iran, North Korea and China all possess the ability to strike the continental United States with nuclear weapons. Within the next decade we may have to decide whether to defend Taiwan against a Chinese attack. We could face another attempt by a rearmed Saddam Hussein to seize Kuwait's oil fields.

Good to keep in mind the next time they shout "fire" in a crowded foreign-policy theater.

Monday, October 11, 2010

Dave Weigel: "The Book Thrown at Obama Was a Sign of Protest, Except That It Wasn't"

Courtesy Dave Weigel.  The meme that wasn't:

The Secret Service is now shedding some more light on the circumstances surrounding a man who threw a book at President Obama at an event in Pennsylvania Sunday. And they're not throwing the book at him.

According to Secret Service spokesperson, Ed Donovan, the person involved was an overzealous author who just wanted to toss his book into the president's reading list.

"He was an over exuberant person who wrote a book that he wanted the president to read," Donovan told CNN.

Five'll get you ten that this doesn't make the news tonight.

Is the Liberal Blogosphere going after George Soros?

And I hate to say it, rightly so. Steve Benen hit him too, but the really interesting take comes from Jonathan Chait:

I've been writing a lot about the tendency among many liberals to muster outrage against Republicans after they've taken power, while lacking any capacity to muster energy to prevent Republicans from taking power in the first place. Apparently this attitude extends even to billionaire liberal financier George Soros:

“I made an exception getting involved in 2004,” Mr. Soros, 80, said in a brief interview Friday at a forum sponsored by the Bretton Woods Committee, which promotes understanding of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

“And since I didn’t succeed in 2004, I remained engaged in 2006 and 2008. But I’m basically not a party man. I’d just been forced into that situation by what I considered the excesses of the Bush administration.”

Mr. Soros, a champion of liberal causes, has been directing his money to groups that work on health care and the environment, rather than electoral politics.

Right, and I'm sure if Republicans take control of Congress, nothing seriously bad would happen as a result.

Like I said Maine, return Collins (or Snowe) to the Senate, you deserve what you get.

Susan Collins writes a Washington Post essay where she waxes nostalgic about Bipartisanship and divided Government...you know, the Bipartisanship she helped to kill, and the Divided Government she hopes to foster by worrying more about her Committee standing instead of getting stuff done.

I'm not going to cover the actual essay. Rather, I just wanted to enjoy the ripping of her nostalgic walk down memory lane:

Susan Collins takes a crack at defending this belief in a Washington Post essay. Collins' essay is a valuable document, a perfect gem of intellectual incoherence, for its inadvertent exposure of the vacuity of the establishment view.

Collins' premise is simple: Republican control of Congress would be good because it would introduce divided government and hence more civility and bipartisan cooperation:

When one party has all the power, the temptation is to roll over the minority, leading to resentment and resistance because the minority has so few options.

It wasn't always this way. There were times when those who worked to avert legislative implosions were more welcome. In 2005, a group of senators came together to negotiate an agreement for considering judicial nominees. This "Gang of 14," of which I was part, sought to avoid what was known as the "nuclear option," a change in the Senate rules that would have brought about a legislative meltdown.

A few problems with this thesis present themselves immediately. First, we have a recent example of divided government: 2007-2008, when Democrats controlled Congress and Republicans the White House. It was not an Edenic time of bipartisan cooperation. The next most recent period of divided government, 1996-2000, featured government shutdowns and a wildly partisan attempt to impeach the president.

Maine, she's an idiot. And you're idiots for returning her to office. If you do so again, you're going to get what you deserve, which is nothing.

Nominated to the Fed. Blocked by the GOP. Wins Nobel Prize in Economics.

Truly, a party that does not value intelligence:

Peter Diamond, a 70-year-old economist at MIT, just won the Nobel Prize in Economics. Yes, that's the same Peter Diamond whom President Obama appointed to the Federal Reserve in April and whose confirmation Republicans have blocked.

It's not clear which Republican or Republican senators are stopping his nomination at this point, as he's the victim of one of those infamous anonymous holds. But two leading suspects are Jim Bunning and Richard Shelby, both of whom voted against Diamond's nomination in committee and the latter of whom has raised questions about Diamond's qualification.

Shelby has acknowledged that Diamond is a "skilled economist" but has said he wonders whether Diamond has sufficient expertise in monetary policy--even though three sitting Fed governors, including two appointed by Republicans, aren't even economists.

Saturday, October 9, 2010

The Fireside chat for October 9, 2010 (VIDEO)

The President explains that even as we focus on creating jobs immediately, we must also ensure the economy is better for our children by investing in education – not cutting it by 20% as Congressional Republicans propose.

Friday, October 8, 2010

More stories that are not getting enough coverage: The U.S. District Courts ruling on Health Care.

First, the overall picture from Jonathan Cohn:

The future of health care reform just became a little more secure, thanks to a federal judge in Detroit.

On Thursday, U.S. District Judge George Caram Steeh issued a ruling in Thomas More Law Center v. Barack Obama. It's one of a dozen lawsuits the opponents of health care reform have filed in federal courts, in an effort to roll back the Affordable Care Act. But it is the first case in which a judge has issued a verdict. And the verdict is pretty much a wholesale win for reform.

The plaintiffs in this case are the Law Center, a conservative public interest law firm based in Ann Arbor, Michigan, along with some Michigan residents. The focus of their lawsuit is the individual mandate--the requirement, which becomes effective in 2014, that all Americans obtain a "creditable" health insurance policy. ("Creditable" is wonkspeak for a policy that includes basic benefits, as defined by the government.) According to the plaintiffs, the federal government has no right to impose that requirement, since it would compel people to spend money on health insurance instead of some other good.

In response, the Obama Administration has argued the authority to impose the mandate lies in two separate constitutional provisions--one that gives the federal government power to regulate interstate commerce and one that gives the federal government power to tax for the sake of promoting the general welfare. Steeh basically agreed with both propositions.

From the ruling itself (courtesy Andrew Sullivan):

The health care market is unlike other markets. No one can guarantee his or her health, or ensure that he or she will never participate in the health care market. Indeed, the opposite is nearly always true. The question is how participants in the health care market pay for medical expenses — through insurance, or through an attempt to pay out of pocket with a backstop of uncompensated care funded by third parties.

This phenomenon of cost-shifting is what makes the health care market unique. Far from “inactivity,” by choosing to forgo insurance, plaintiffs are making an economic decision to try to pay for health care services later, out of pocket, rather than now through the purchase of insurance, collectively shifting billions of dollars, $43 billion in 2008, onto other market participants.

Back to Jonathan Cohn:

But the premise of Steeh's legal argument seems to be a notion about policy--that it's not possible to regulate the insurance industry, in a way that would make coverage available to all people, without compelling every person to get coverage. On that count, I would argue, Steeh is correct.

So what does this mean for the repeal movement? My limited understanding, informed by a few casual conversations with some law professors, is that Steeh's decision is consistent with the traditional understanding of the Commerce Clause--that the only way to throw out the mandate would be to reexamine conventional assumptions about the Commerce Clause. That would be a fairly radical move.

And finally, Ezra Klein:

There's no "right" argument here. No one doubts that health-care reform would be constitutional if Antonin Scalia decided to pursue his passion for beekeeping and allowed President Obama to appoint his replacement. The only reason there's any question about the law's constitutionality is that conservatives appointed five of the nine sitting justices, and conservatives have organized against the constitutionality of a proposal they once considered not just constitutional, but desirable as a matter of public policy.

And so it goes. Politics is politics, and the Supreme Court is, at this point, deeply and unquestionably political. I continue to think it unlikely that they will want the sort of direct confrontation with the political system, and with the Democratic Party, that overturning health-care reform would entail. But only time will tell.

The Foreclosure Meltdown. How it happened. And why the Daily Show is doing better reporting on it than anyone.

In an era where we have to read about complicated economics stories through the lens of a generally lazy Mainstream Media, its no wonder its possible that the American public can learn about these things that are happening to them and theirs, still not understand it, and consequently stop giving a @#$% about.

But that doesn't mean that there aren't people out there, trying to let you know exactly what happened to it. It's just sad that the comedians and writers on the Daily Show are out there doing a better job than say, trained and credentialed Journalists and pundits.

So, let me start with a basic introduction to what's happened, courtesy of the Washington Post's webpage on this matter:

During the housing boom, millions of homeowners got easy access to mortgages. Now, some lenders have discovered many mortgage documents were faked, forged or otherwise mishandled. Ally Financial, J.P. Morgan Chase and PNC have halted foreclosures in 23 states as they attempt to determine the depth and scope of the irregularities. Bank of America has gone a step further, temporarily stopping all foreclosure sales nationwide. Meanwhile, attorneys general in several states have put moratoriums on all foreclosures, and politicians in Washington are beginning to push for a federal investigation into the matter. President Obama has "pocket vetoed" a bill that could make it difficult for homeowners to challenge documents prepared in other states.

One of the things about the bill the President vetoed, is that we're still not exactly sure how it got through the Senate in the first place.

Or are we?:

It happened because Calvin Coolidge, the 30th president of the United States, was a notary public from Vermont, according to Judiciary Committee aides.

It all started, the aides said, when committee chairman Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) participated in an Aug. 3 "Why Coolidge Matters" event with the National Notary Association at the Library of Congress. "Senator Leahy was so very gracious to carve out some of his time to join us at the Library of Congress event, and we are grateful for his kind words regarding Calvin Coolidge as well as his support of the important roles played by Notaries Public," wrote Michael Robinson, executive director of the National Notary Association, in a Sep. 14 email to Leahy's office. Robinson asked if anyone from Leahy's office would be interested in H.R. 3808, the notarization bill that had passed the House of Representatives by a voice vote in the springtime.

"In September, after hearing from the National Notary Association....Senator Leahy, in consultation with the Committee's Ranking Member, Senator Jeff Sessions, examined the legislation," Judiciary Committee aides wrote in an email. "Having heard no objections from advocates, States or stakeholders, and having checked with the Department of Justice, the bill was discharged from the Judiciary Committee. It was passed with the unanimous consent after every Senate office was notified that it was being considered and there were no objections."

So...because a bunch of Accountants sucked up to Patrick Leahy (even though he's a Fort McHenry fave, not covered in glory here) dangling fellow Vermonter Calvin Coolidge like a piece of catnip, and suddenly this thing was pushed through with minimal reflection and examination?

Quick tip to Senator Leahy, who's forgotten more about Legislation than I'll ever know: if Jeff Sessions thinks a bill is unobjectionable...[if you can't guess the rest yourself, we're in bigger trouble than I thought].

Ezra Klein commented on the Bill itself and the President's pocket veto:

Is this an unexpected gift that will slow foreclosures and give distressed homeowners more leverage to negotiate principal write-downs in court? Is this a nightmare that will throw the housing market into chaos, freaking out other markets and slowing the necessary clearing? Both?

I'm still trying to figure it out. And it looks like I'll have more time to do so. The White House has announced that President Obama will "pocket veto" H.R. 3808, the Interstate Recognition of Notarizations Act of 2010, which would've allowed banks to shortcut the current notarization process by forum shopping to states that are willing to sign off on anything. That might have fixed much of this foreclosure mess, but it would've fixed it by bailing banks out of a situation they created -- not the sort of thing the White House wants to do just weeks before the midterm.

Beardy McIdiot, aka Daily Show host and Rally-holder Jon Stewart put it another way:

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More as it comes, Bank of America has stopped foreclosures (as said above) but if you wanted a basic lay of the land, there it is.

Jonathan Cohn: "The deficit is coming down. Let's see how much the voters care come November."

From Jobs, the Deficit, and a Political Lesson for Democrats:

Did you hear the great news? The deficit came down. From 2009 to 2010, the deficit level fell by $125 billion. According to Stan Collender, writing at Capital Gains and Losses, "this by far is the biggest one-year nominal drop in the deficit that has ever occurred."

But nobody is very excited about this development. Nor, honestly, should they be. The real news today is the latest jobs report: The economy shed 95,000 jobs and the overall unemployment rate held steady at 9.6 percent. The private sector actually created some jobs, but those gains were more than offset by layoffs in the public sector. As my colleague Jonathan Chait points out, this largely reflects the fact that local and state governments have been cutting back spending, in order to balance their budgets.

Local and state governments wouldn't have to do that if they had more money. And they'd have more money if the federal government provided it to them. That's what President Obama and his allies wanted to do, citing evidence that aid to the states is among the very best ways to boost the economy at times like these. But conservatives said no, citing concerns about the deficit. Those conservatives prevailed.

Some of these conservatives who blocked more state aid were basing their position on principle. They think the potential damage of running higher short-term deficits, even modest ones, outweighs potential gains in employment. Or they simply don't buy the Keynesian logic of deficit spending to boost growth. I think the majority of mainstream economists would disagree, as would I, but at least it's a substantive prefrence.

But some of the conservatives, particularly those within the Democratic Party, were thinking more about politics. Running higher deficits, they thought, would incur the wrath of voters and make re-election difficult. Well, now they've gotten their way. The deficit is coming down. Let's see how much the voters care come November.

Or as Ezra Klein puts it, the "Anti-Stimulus":

The government is now impeding an economic recovery. But it's not for the reasons you often hear. It's not because of debt or because of taxes. Nor has it scared the private sector into timidity. It's because, at the state and local level, it's firing people. There are more than 14 million Americans looking for work right now -- to say nothing of the 9.5 million who have been forced into part-time jobs when they want, and need, full-time work -- and the government just added 159,000 more to the pool. Consider this: If we only counted private-sector jobs, we'd have had positive jobs reports for the last nine months. As it is, public-sector losses have wiped out private-sector gains for the past four months.

Cold water for Democrats provided by Jonathan Chait

Just in case you were starting to feel better about the Democrat's prospects for 2010, Jonathan Chait pulls up some press coverage about the Democrat's late "surge" efforts in 1994, and the results should completely depress you.  I'm avoiding it like the plague, but it you want to read it, more power to you.

The concept of Democratic Bravery (VIDEO)

Again, it actually happens:




E.J. Dionne:

The normal course for a Democrat in a Southern countryside district would be to declare himself a conservative, ally with the Republicans on as many roll calls as possible and tell the president to find his votes elsewhere.

Perriello didn't do that. Instead, he supported the stimulus package, the cap-and-trade bill and health-care reform. Not only that, he proudly defends his votes and sees the administration as being not forceful enough in presenting its program as a coherent effort to deal with the nation's biggest problems.

"If you take the stimulus, health care and energy and you treat them as three discrete debates, you've already lost," he said in an interview over a late dinner Tuesday. "All three were about making us competitive in the world."

Then he gets to his core argument, which he repeats over and over as he drives his genuinely battered pickup from small town to small town. (He used it long before Scott Brown made trucks the preferred form of political transportation.)

"We have to build, make and grow things in America," he says. "We can't win a race to the bottom with China."

And here's Rachel Maddow talking about the same concept (fighting back), only with Senators:

Every once in a while, Democrats do what they say they'll do. (VIDEO)

What we have here is actual video of actual Democrats actually following up on what they said they'd do on Wednesday, punching back and punching back hard on the Chamber of Commerce's selling out America to foreign Companies, allowing their money to influence our campaigns.

I know!  Democratic follow up.  Shocking!




And it continues with Rep. James Clyburn (D-SC):

President Obama's speech before the 2010 Fortune Most Powerful Women Summit (VIDEO)

President Obama speaks about the impact of women in business on the economy and the steps we can take together to ensure that America remains competitive over the long term.



This is the one where the Presidential Seal dropped.

Michelle #1!!

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Jonathan Bernstein on the future of Nancy Pelosi.

I've heard some speculation...(okay, the speculation comes from talking to dear ol' Dad) that should the Democrats lose the House, Nancy would probably resign her House Seat.

Now, Jonathan Bernstein says: not so fast:

I've seen some outsider speculation about what Nancy Pelosi would do if the Democrats lose the House, but so far I don't think I've seen any actual whispers against her that seem to come from inside her caucus. As far as I can tell, she can have Minority Leader if she wants it (and my guess is that she will, especially if modest gains in 2012 would put her back in the big chair).

Carl Bernstein: "There's no there--there." (VIDEO)

It's amazing how hard Carl Bernstein (yeah, that Carl Bernstein) is working to debunk the story about Hillary swapping jobs with Joe Biden.  (Carl says it's a non-story puffed up by the chattering class and ex-Hillary supporters seeking a cure for boredom).  It's just as amazing how hard Lawrence is working to keep it alive.  It's all Carl can do from pounding his fist on the table and yelling out: "BULLS#$%!!!"



I also don't know about Lawrence's "theory", isolating the entirety of the vote in favor of Obama in its historical context kinda misses the point.  (The War in Iraq and the Economy played much bigger roles than history.)

Theories work wonderfully in a vacuum.  Lawrence's point is salient, assuming the country doesn't react with mass panic over the prospect of a Sarah Palin or a Newt Ginrich running for President.  I have the feeling that once the country gets a load of them, it may not matter what the President does.

Also, Lawrence made a mistake in his interview with Joe Klein. President Obama did not start the Bank Bailout (aka TARP). Joe Klein said he did.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

I'm calling you out, Maine. If you return Snowe to the Senate, you deserve what you get.

Honest to God, a quote from our lady of Maine:

Republican Sen. Olympia Snowe criticized her Congressional colleagues on Wednesday for failing to find common ground, calling for a more centrist approach to politics.

"Frankly we haven't done our jobs well here in Washington and that disturbs me," Snowe said at Fortune magazine's "Most Powerful Women" summit.

"There's all this partisanship and polization," Snowe explained, "and ultimately it yields two outcomes: either scorched-earth victory for one side or political stagnation."

Maine, fire her just for that.

Who's been supporting just about ALL the Republican filibusters? Snowe and Collins. Why isn't there a Disclose Act? Snowe and Collins. Why isn't there a Public Option? Snowe and Collins (and Lincoln, and Lieberman). Why didn't she pass the Defense Authorization Bill with DADT Repeal, which she supported in committee??

Never deal with this woman again.

This is how much Think Progress is standing by its story on the Chamber of Commerce

Faiz Shakir has put up a new story following up on the revelation that the U.S. Chamber of Commerce is using foreign money for its attack ads against Democrats. The funny thing is, in the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's vehement denunciations of Think Progress hasn't exactly translated into anything like a denial of the basic facts of the story. So, now we can assume the following as fact:

1) The Chamber acknowledges that it receives foreign sources of funding.


2) The foreign funds go directly into the Chamber’s general 501(c)(6) entity.


3) At least $300,000 has been channeled from foreign companies in India and Bahrain to the account.


4) The foreign sources include foreign state-owned companies, including the State Bank of India and the Bahrain Petroleum Company.


5) The Chamber’s 501(c)(6) entity is used to launch an unprecedented $75 million partisan attack ad campaign against Democrats.

Nothing the Chamber has said in response to our story refutes those basic set of facts. The right-wing business group claims that it has a “system” in place to ensure that money is not being used for illegal purposes, namely to influence U.S. elections. But the Chamber refuses to explain how that “system” works, and is instead demanding that the public simply trust-but-not-verify.

Rand Paul doubles down on trying to lose the Kentucky Senate Election

I'm not fooled, I know that Jack Conway may be a Ben Nelson in Democratic Clothing as well, but so far, he hasn't gone completely bat@#$% crazy like Joe Manchin, and he is a hundred times saner than his mega-Libertarian opponent Rand Paul.

Recently, he's been getting his a$$ kicked for suggesting there should be a $2000 dollar deductible on Medicare (i.e., Joe and Jane Taxpayer should be responsible for the first two grand of Medical expenses before the Medicare you paid for kicks in).

Today, Rand Paul doubled-down on that idea:

Obfuscation being the nature of things in political ads, you might expect that when given a chance to talk about the $2,000 deductible scheme, Paul would rattle off the ways Conway took his words out of context or practiced 'gotcha' selective editing in the clip.

You'd be wrong.

On Neil Cavuto's Fox News show today, Paul not only stood by the position Conway said he took on a $2,000 deductible for Medicare, he actually threw gasoline on the fire by suggesting that the deductible should apply to all future beneficiaries 55 years old or younger.

He did wiggle out of it a little bit by suggesting voters like my Dad not have to pay this deductible, while voters like me (and virtually anyone else who has heard of blogging) will get hit with it.

Ezra Klein interviews Austan Goolsbee

I admit it.  I'm an unabashed fan full time White House Economist, and part-time Daily Show guest, Austan Goolsbee. Ezra talked to him today, and here are a few highlights:

EK: But on the point of middle-class incomes, the Congressional Budget Office looked at the question and concluded that extending the tax cuts indefinitely would lower incomes by 2020. In other words, it would actually hurt the economy.

AG: As you know, behind any statement like that is some model. In their model, they’ve made an assumption of what deficits do to the interest rate, and my understanding is they’re assuming a relatively significant impact. We’ve had a major deepening of the world capital market in recent years, and so the impacts of tax cuts on the interest rate may not be as big as they’re assuming. If you take a step back, the underlying fiscal crisis facing the country is driven by health-care inflation and entitlement spending. And so we need some outcome from the fiscal commission. But the center of that effort can’t be balancing the budget on the back of the middle class.

EK: The CBO also said that extending all of the tax cuts, including those for income over $250,000, would do less damage to the economy than just extending the middle-class tax cuts. Obviously you disagree, but why?

AG: Having been a major player in, and studied the academic evidence on, how people respond to changes in tax rates, I don’t think the old-style argument that high-income people have big responses to small changes in tax rates is warranted by the evidence. Even a casual look at our experience in the '90s and the 2000s suggests that high-income marginal tax rates aren’t the primary drivers of growth. Bill Clinton raised rates on exactly this group that we’re talking about, and it did not have a significant negative impact on the growth of the country. Then, in the 2000s, we cut high-income tax rates by as much as they’ve ever been cut, and we certainly did not experience a massive renaissance in economic growth. There should be a higher burden of proof on people saying that rates going up by four points on income above $250,000 will have a huge negative effect.
...
EK: There’s been some evidence coming out lately that when a country needs to balance its budget, spending cuts are better than tax hikes. We’ve seen this from Alesina at Harvard, from the IMF and from the CBO. Do you think that’s right?

AG: People are getting way out in front of the evidence on this. Those comparative studies are mainly on very small economies, nations that are 1/50th or 1/100th the size of the U.S. And what little countries did to deal with their imbalances are frequently not available for giant economies like the U.S. or Japan. More intense research shows that the primary way countries get out of fiscal holes is by increasing their growth rate. To posit that you have to either substantially cut spending or raise taxes belies the fact that what really matters is debt-to-GDP. In the U.S., we’ve often reduced that ratio without running surpluses by getting the growth rate up. The growth rate is a critical component of fiscal sustainability. The fiscal policy you can sustain depends on how big your GDP growth is.

EK: Looking at 2011, what are you optimistic about? What are you worried about?

AG: As Warren Buffett has said, in 1900, the Dow was at 50. In the intervening decades, we had World War I, a depression, World War II, flu pandemics, oil shocks, Vietnam. A lot of really major, negative things happened. And yet, by 2010, the Dow is at 10,000. The ultimate generative capacity of the U.S. economy is based on innovation, the quality of our workforce, the vibrancy of our markets, and how entrepreneurial our people are. And those things remain. We also have going for us the normal self-correcting mechanisms of recessions. People need to replace their cars, to get married, have children. Those underlying trends are in our favor. Second, the president has done a lot of things over the past few years to stop the freefall in the economy, which worked, and encourage the private sector to stand up, which we’ve done a lot on and have to keep pushing on.

Housing is a concern. Prices seem to have stabilized, but it remains a troubled area as there are a lot of vacant houses. State fiscal situations are very precarious. We’ve had eight months of private-sector job growth after 20 months of losses, but it’s getting balanced off by the trouble in state and local employment. In the first three months of this year, the data were coming in better than expected. Then there was the crisis in Europe, which shook confidence and the markets. The developed world remains in a tough spot. So international growth remains a concern for our exports.

The business cycle in the 2000s was driven by consumer spending faster than income growth and residential housing investment, and that was unsustainable. And so we’re trying to point to an older-style of recovery that’s business-investment driven, where consumption growth is proportional to income, and then a push on exports. Those three things can sustain a boom, but on each of those, there are reasons to be optimistic, but there are dangers. For the exports, if there’s no growth out of Europe, that’ll be a concern. On the investment side, there’s money on the sidelines, but there’s an uncertainty that demand isn’t there. And I’m optimistic on proportional consumption growth, as we had a pretty dramatic increase in the savings rate.

Manchin: "I can be just as good a footstool for Massey Energy as my Republican Opponent could"

I tried not to make it a secret how little regard I have for West Virginia Governor Joe Manchin. I wrote about his holding the Senate hostage (imagine that!) while he positioned himself to run for Senate. I wrote that I thought he was going to win, despite himself.

Now, I'm not so sure (and I'm also not sure I'm sorry). Why?

Because a day after a poll showed him losing to his Teabagger opponent because "A vote for Manchin is a Obama", Manchin has decided to sue the Obama Administration over its Mining Administration policies.

Like West Virginia has been covered in glory over its mining policies.

All this is, is Manchin telling his true bosses (i.e. not the people of West Virginia) Massey Energy that he'd be just as much of a toadie for them as his Republican opponent would.

This is why I don't give to the DSCC. There are lots of Senators I want re-elected, and plenty more in my own party that I don't. I don't want to give even a fraction of a cent to people like Ben Nelson, Blance Lincoln, and Mark Pryor. I sure as hell don't want to give money to Joe Manchin, because in the end, I'm not sure what the difference is between him and a Republican.

If you want to give, I say give direct.  It's not like Joe Manchin needs your money anyway, he's got Massey he can go to.

House Democrats are going to fight back on the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's foreign money TV Ads (VIDEO)

About damn time.

First off, read the Think Progress report, or at least watch this bit of Countdown with Keith Olbermann:



My gut feeling is that Chamber is indeed doing taking foreign money. They are at the very least creating a climate of doubt over whether they are following the law or not (and according to Keith it is a law). Their argument is going to be "we're following the law" and "we're taking legal measures to protect ourselves". Problem is those measures are what's creating the doubt about their compliance with the law in the first place. So, transparency is necessary. Maybe Congress should look into doing something about it.

Oh, right. The House did. The Senate didn't.

Typical.

Anyway, today. Greg Sargent has some good news on that front:

House Democrats in tough races are being advised by Dem leaders to seize on new revelations about the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's foreign fundraising to defend themselves against the Chamber's ad onslaught -- another sign of just how urgent it is for Dems to counter the massive ad spending disparity they're up against.

A senior Democratic strategist tells me that embattled incumbents and candidates are being instructed to seize on yesterday's Think Progress report, which raised questions as to whether the money the Chamber raises from foreign companies is being used to help bankroll its multimillion-dollar campaign against Democrats.

House Dems and candidates who are being bludgeoned by Chamber ads will start raising the specter of foreign money rigging our elections as a way to fight back against the ads.

"Every single House Democrat being attacked by the Chamber of Commerce should use this extraordinary revelation to their benefit," one strategist involved in charting House race strategy tells me.

"It makes a huge difference to people on Main Street if they know the Chamber ads are bought and paid for by Foreign owned companies that want to export American jobs," the strategist continues. "Our guys need to go for the jugular on this and this news offers them a pretty sharp knife."

Erza Klein: "Have fun trying to repeal health-care reform, guys."

From "How health-care repeal will burn the Republicans":

When liberals explain why health care needs an individual mandate, the traditional metaphor is firefighting: Everyone needs to buy insurance for the same reason that everyone needs to buy fire protection. But if you leave the market unregulated, some people won't buy -- or won't be able to afford -- fire protection. And we're not comfortable letting their houses burn down. Similarly, if you leave health coverage to the market, some people won't buy it, and others won't be able to afford it, and then, when they get sick and need it, insurers won't sell it to them. But we're not comfortable letting them die in the streets. Hence, the health-care law.

When Republicans talk about repealing the legislation, they keep the argument abstract. It's about freedom. About American values. About Nancy Pelosi not reading the bill. When they actually try to repeal the legislation, things are going to get concrete in a hurry. It's going to be about this child with that condition being rejected by insurers. And she's going to be adorable, and her parents are going to tearful, and voters will be able to relate.

Already, Republicans are running from that argument, trying to pretend that they'll somehow preserve the protections for preexisting conditions while repealing everything that makes those protections possible. But the bill's unpopular parts are inextricably intertwined with its popular parts. Remove the unpopular ones and you're asking firefighters to sell insurance for homes that are already engulfed in flames.

Here's my prediction for health-care repeal: The GOP will either never really try it, lose on it, or, most likely, cut a deal to add some more conservative pieces to the bill (think malpractice reform, more consumer-driven plans and other things they could've gotten by just negotiating in the first place). But Republicans who think this is going to be easy because public opinion is against the Democrats should remember that before Democrats got a specific bill, public opinion was overwhelmingly on their side. When Republicans are forced to get specific about repeal, they're going to find themselves just as -- if not more -- unpopular. If you're not comfortable explaining why you let someone's house burn down, you're really not going to like explaining why you let insurers turn their sick child away.

Where I have to...(shudder) give Thomas Friedman his props...(shudder again)...

Mr. "The Next Six Months" finally got something right (courtesy Think Progress):

New York Times op-ed columnist Tom Friedman has joined the fight against Proposition 23, the Tea Party effort to kill AB 32, California’s climate law that he describes as “the best thing we have going to stimulate clean-tech in America.” Saying that “this is a fight worth having,” Friedman cites ThinkProgress coverage of how oil giants like Koch Industries are bankrolling the Proposition 23 campaign. Noting that Republicans Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and George Schultz are leading the charge against Prop 23 and for the clean-tech investment spurred by AB 32, Friedman concludes that the “real joke is thinking that if California suspends its climate laws that Mother Nature will also take a timeout”.

I'd like to take a moment and address, the Fates, the Norns, the Big Man, whoever's in charge of destiny around here.

Once...just once, I'd like to get in a clean shot on somebody, without either having to walk it back, or put something up that makes my intended victim slightly more agreeable.

What was that?


That's what happens when you talk too much smack in the media?


And maybe this is a lesson that all of the Mainstream Media needs to learn?


Okay. Message received.

To run for President in 2012, Mitt Romney will have to run against the Health Care Reform he created

Oh yeah, sez Steve Benen:

At a certain level, this is all terribly silly. Obama's policy, like Romney's policy, is a moderate solution to a long-standing national problem. Their plans are the sort of thing that can enjoy bipartisan support -- and would had the GOP not gotten so hysterical and extreme in recent years.

But that is, of course, the point. Romney did one big thing during one term, and now his own party doesn't want to hear about it. On the contrary, they're demanding an apology before they hear anything else.

The irony for Romney is that he's flip-flopped on practically every issue I can think of, but the one position he's inclined to stick to is the one the GOP base finds wholly unacceptable.

It's worth noting, though, that it's not just Romney. Jon Chait added, "I'd also be curious to hear from some conservatives about how they see this. In 2008, nearly all of them were fine with Romney's health care plan. (National Review endorsed Romney for president.) Now, to a man, nearly all of them believe the imposition of a regulate/subsidize/mandate scheme represents one of the worst catastrophes in American history. How do they account for their dramatic change of mind? Were conservatives all simply wrong and ignorant in 2008, and now they've opened their eyes?"


UPDATE 2:21pm Pacific:

Finally put up the Jonathan Chait piece mentioned by Mr. Benen:

Politico has a good piece today on a subject I've been banging on for a while -- the mortal blowinflicted upon Mitt Romney's presidential hopes by the health care debate. In 2008, a system consisting of a regulated individual markets, an individual mandate, and subsidies for low-income workers was considered a perfectly sensible thing for a conservative Republican to have supported. Romney boasted about it on the campaign trail and took essentially no flack for it. Now, such a system is The Death Of Freedom.

The further problem is that the 2008 version of Romney was itself a radical remaking of his prior political identity. Romney took a great deal of abuse for his shift, but ultimately conservatives swallowed it, and he emerged from 2008 in a strong position. His post-election speech to the CPAC positioned him as a front-runner. But now health care has killed it. The Politico story quotes some conservatives demanding Romney apologize. He can't do that, of course, without raising all the flip-flopper questions that haunted him four years before.

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

A Daily Show flashback to the 2002 Midterms (VIDEO)

It's funny because it's all so anti-Democratic.

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I wonder what Jon Stewart of 2002 would think of 2010.

His hair'd probably turn grey.

MSNBC: "Other than that, Delaware's great!" (VIDEO)

After speaking with Christine O'Donnell staffers multiple times about speaking someone from Christine O'Donnell's campaign, Rahcel Maddow rudely ejected from O'Donnell campaign headquaters.

UPDATE: October 6, 2010:

Now, with video!

Does anyone else smell a lawsuit brewing in Tennessee? (VIDEO)

A quick repeat of last night's Number One story on Countdown with Keith Olbermann:



Think Progress:

As ThinkProgress has noted, there are currently two competing visions of governance in the United States. One, the conservative vision, believes in the on-your-own society, and informs a policy agenda that primarily serves the well off and privileged sectors of the country. The other vision, the progressive one, believes in an American Dream that works for all people, regardless of their racial, religious, or economic background.

The conservative vision was on full display last week in Obion County, Tennessee. In this rural section of Tennessee, Gene Cranick’s home caught on fire. As the Cranicks fled their home, their neighbors alerted the county’s firefighters, who soon arrived at the scene. Yet when the firefighters arrived, they refused to put out the fire, saying that the family failed to pay the annual subscription fee to the fire department. Because the county’s fire services for rural residences is based on household subscription fees, the firefighters, fully equipped to help the Cranicks, stood by and watched as the home burned to the ground:

Paul Krugman:

This is essentially the same as denying someone essential medical care because he doesn’t have insurance. So the question is, do you want to live in the kind of society in which this happens?

Jonathan Cohn:

I really don't know enough about the specifics of this story to address it authoritatively, other than to share the general sense of shock that Foster seems to feel. (The fire fighters stood there and let the house burn? Really?) But I also understand the libertarian argument and think this story exemplifies the problems of applying that theory to other issues. Yes, I'm thinking primarily of health care reform.

Fire protection is usually compulsory. You pay for it with your taxes, just like you pay for police protection, a national defense, and Social Security. But in rural areas, apparently, some people who could pay for fire protection don't--in the same way that some people who could buy health insurance today don't. The trouble with this arrangement is that some people who decline protection will need it.

Foster (who, by the way, is a really interesting writer I just discovered a few weeks ago) says that the firefighters should have accepted the offer for payment, on the spot, and doused the flame. I'd go a bit farther than that. To me this is a classic case for requiring payment up front--that is, an individual mandate. People shouldn't have the option to decline fire protection if protection is available. If they refuse to pay the fees, assuming they are reasonable relative to their means, they should be subject to financial penalties. The same goes for health insurance. Don't let people go without basic coverage, but make them pay for it, to whatever extent their income allows.

Does that make me a little paternalistic? You bet. And I'm ok with that. We all make really poor decisions sometimes. And while I think suffering the consequences of those decisions is generally a good thing, or at least a necessary thing, some consequences strike me as too extreme.


Here's a question. How negligent is the Fire Department for not stepping in and stopping the first fire when it started, and preventing it from spreading to the next house which had paid the fee. If they had been allowed to do their job, the second house would not have burned.

I think the owner of the second house has a case against the state of Tennessee. He paid his fee, and the actions of Fire Department caused his house to catch fire.

This is why we don't do this in civilized societies. It's not about wagging a finger at the man who didn't pay a fee, this is supposed to be about making sure fire damages as few homes as possible, and the Tennessee law failed to do that.

You have a chance to do something about this November 2nd, because if the Tea Party wins, this philosophy will spread.

Barney Frank: I want people to "complain and vote at the same time" (VIDEO)

Lawrence O'Donnell's interview with Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA) on Liberal complaints about the Obama Administration.

Monday, October 4, 2010

Are the pieces for Re-Elect slowly but surely coming into place.

Axe is going back to Chicago, as is Rahmbo (though I expect he'll be busy with other things). Plouffe never left. And now Greg Sargent speaks of growing chatter about Robert Gibbs taking over as DNC Chair.

The idea of Tim Kaine running the DNC as a consolation prize for not getting the Veep-slash was a good idea.  He knows how to run local elections (if only Creigh Deeds had bothered to listen).

Still, Robert Gibbs as DNC Chair.  I got to admit, I like it.

Mr. "the next six more months in Iraq are critical" has spoken again.

In addition to the likes of Arianna Huffington, Glenn Greenwald, Robert Kuttner, and many others, I've always held a soft spot for Thomas "six more months" Friedman...

Actually, I've always held a soft spot for trying to kick him when he's down, whenever possible.

It's not just the smarmy attitude, the cocksure "I know what's best for you" attitude, it's that he was dead-ass wrong on the Iraq War, and I don't think has admitted it yet...to this day.

To be sure, I'd love to spend some more time ripping apart his annual "If only we had a party as reasonable as me" column, but apparently, Jonathan Bernstein beat me to it.

And so did Steve Benen...

...and Dave Weigel...

...and whole mess of others. (Like Erza Klein, and Ta-Neishi Coates...)